Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.016701 0.018425 0.020166 0.022051 0.024029 0.026040 0.028235
2025-07-06 0.012661 0.015262 0.018010 0.021105 0.024473 0.028010 0.031985
2025-07-13 0.010948 0.014071 0.017475 0.021413 0.025798 0.030491 0.035858
2025-07-20 0.009390 0.012832 0.016696 0.021272 0.026468 0.032120 0.038671
2025-07-27 0.008124 0.011783 0.016005 0.021113 0.027014 0.033523 0.041154
2025-08-03 0.007478 0.011393 0.016015 0.021701 0.028356 0.035771 0.044539
2025-08-10 0.006523 0.010537 0.015401 0.021496 0.028734 0.036887 0.046614
2025-08-17 0.005665 0.009725 0.014778 0.021229 0.028993 0.037830 0.048459
2025-08-24 0.004975 0.009073 0.014306 0.021100 0.029380 0.038892 0.050416
2025-08-31 0.004326 0.008418 0.013784 0.020874 0.029621 0.039759 0.052127
2025-09-07 0.003807 0.007896 0.013401 0.020790 0.030010 0.040780 0.054001
2025-09-14 0.003221 0.007223 0.012775 0.020368 0.029958 0.041261 0.055227
2025-09-21 0.002595 0.006453 0.012021 0.019808 0.029790 0.041676 0.056474
2025-09-28 0.001940 0.005553 0.011036 0.018917 0.029199 0.041587 0.057145
2025-10-05 0.001696 0.005306 0.010956 0.019208 0.030078 0.043262 0.059898
2025-10-12 0.001380 0.004879 0.010581 0.019075 0.030401 0.044246 0.061816
2025-10-19 0.001105 0.004476 0.010210 0.018925 0.030685 0.045170 0.063652
2025-10-26 0.001002 0.004410 0.010349 0.019479 0.031878 0.047213 0.066838
2025-11-02 0.000779 0.004032 0.009972 0.019286 0.032081 0.048021 0.068523
2025-11-09 0.000583 0.003658 0.009568 0.019034 0.032191 0.048701 0.070043
2025-11-16 0.000437 0.003360 0.009266 0.018913 0.032462 0.049574 0.071792
2025-11-23 0.000307 0.003049 0.008915 0.018700 0.032598 0.050268 0.073313
2025-11-30 0.000214 0.002806 0.008663 0.018621 0.032905 0.051171 0.075089